District brief

Iran, January 2026: twenty days below baseline

Window: 8–27 January 2026 · Iran · vintage 2026-07-16

National connectivity fell out of its normalcy band on 8 January 2026 and stayed out for twenty days. The national series bottomed near zero against its frozen baseline, and 163 of the 254 measured districts recorded negative episodes of their own inside the window. The pattern — near-total, simultaneous, province after province — is what a coordinated restriction looks like in measurement, though the data records the where and the how long, not the cause.

The national record

One line, twenty days

The chart below is the national daily connectivity series against the baseline the anomaly model froze when the episode began. Freezing matters: a trailing baseline would chase the collapse downward and understate it, so depth is measured against what normal looked like before the window opened.

The subnational record

Province by province

The same window, one level down. Every province listed recorded its own negative episode overlapping the national one; several sat at effectively zero for the duration. District-level records behind each province carry the same fields.